Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-1 Umman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Körfez Cup, 27 Dec 2024

📅27/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.48
6+ Goals
6%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.1pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.8pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Umman EU Bookmakers 23%
-74% / -74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.84/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.82
-63% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
26.7 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Umman
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
06.01.2024 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-1 HT 0-1 Umman Umman HAZ
25.11.2014 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-0 HT 0-0 Umman Umman AKK
14.11.2014 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-0 HT 0-0 Umman Umman AKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1-1
AWAY Umman
2.00 xG 0.19
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
237 Passes 368
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Umman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri and Umman couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri had 43% of the ball to Umman's 57%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 2.00 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri and 0.33 for Umman.

What was the final score of Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Umman?

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-1 Umman in the Körfez Cup on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Umman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 43%, draw 35%, Umman 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) ✓ Under 2.5
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