Kuveyt 1-1 Katar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Körfez Cup, 27 Dec 2024

Kuveyt
1-1 HT 0-0
Katar
📅27/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Körfez Cup – 2024

Kuveyt vs Katar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.42
6+ Goals
7%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 35% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.0pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.4pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-9.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kuveyt v Katar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuveyt EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Katar EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
0.57/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.55
-24% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -44%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
245 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 79%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
15.0 Crosses 21.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.6

Kuveyt vs Katar Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuveyt
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Katar
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.75 xG 1.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 Passes 365
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.03.2024 Kuveyt Kuveyt 1-2 HT 0-0 Katar Katar DKE
21.03.2024 Katar Katar 3-0 HT 0-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt DKE
07.01.2023 Kuveyt Kuveyt 0-2 HT 0-2 Katar Katar AKK
16.01.2011 Katar Katar 3-0 HT 2-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt ASK

Kuveyt 1-1 Katar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuveyt
1-1
AWAY Katar
0.50 xG 2.07
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
109 Passes 376
58% Pass Accuracy 83%
5 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kuveyt vs Katar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuveyt and Katar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Katar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Kuveyt had 29% of the ball to Katar's 71%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.50 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Katar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Kuveyt and 2.50 for Katar.

What was the final score of Kuveyt vs Katar?

Kuveyt 1-1 Katar in the Körfez Cup on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuveyt vs Katar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kuveyt 24%, draw 32%, Katar 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Katar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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