Kuveyt 1-2 Katar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2024

Kuveyt
1-2 HT 0-0
Katar
📅26/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
7%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
52%
Away Win
59%
-6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuveyt EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Katar EU Bookmakers 62%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/0.08
-100% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.1
Crosses 28.2
Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuveyt
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Katar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.52 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
327 Passes 391
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.03.2024 Katar Katar 3-0 HT 0-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt DKE
07.01.2023 Kuveyt Kuveyt 0-2 HT 0-2 Katar Katar AKK
16.01.2011 Katar Katar 3-0 HT 2-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuveyt
1-2
AWAY Katar
1.21 xG 1.58
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
154 Passes 313
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kuveyt vs Katar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katar nicked a narrow win over Kuveyt 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kuveyt had 38% of the ball to Katar's 62%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.21 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katar led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kuveyt and 2.67 for Katar.

What was the final score of Kuveyt vs Katar?

Kuveyt 1-2 Katar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuveyt vs Katar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kuveyt 23%, draw 25%, Katar 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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