Lübnan 0-5 Avustralya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2024

Lübnan
0-5 HT 0-1
Avustralya
📅26/03/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Lübnan vs Avustralya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
60%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 32% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+11.8pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
60%
Away Win
77%
-17.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lübnan v Avustralya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübnan EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Avustralya EU Bookmakers 81%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.66/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.77
-4% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -31%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 81%
4.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
7.6 Crosses 16.4
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.1

Lübnan vs Avustralya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübnan
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Avustralya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.47 xG 1.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 10
246 Passes 505
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.03.2024 Avustralya Avustralya 2-0 HT 1-0 Lübnan Lübnan DKE
20.11.2018 Avustralya Avustralya 3-0 HT 2-0 Lübnan Lübnan HAZ

Lübnan 0-5 Avustralya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübnan
0-5
AWAY Avustralya
0.20 xG 3.09
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
279 Passes 454
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Lübnan vs Avustralya
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Avustralya ran out comfortable winners over Lübnan 5-0 away from home in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26 Mar 2024. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 39%.

On the day, Lübnan had 40% of the ball to Avustralya's 60%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.20 to 3.09.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avustralya lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lübnan and 2.50 for Avustralya.

What was the final score of Lübnan vs Avustralya?

Lübnan 0-5 Avustralya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübnan vs Avustralya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lübnan 18%, draw 22%, Avustralya 60%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avustralya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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