Hindistan 1-2 Afganistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
29%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 32% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
65%
-16.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
14%
+15.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hindistan EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Afganistan EU Bookmakers 17%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +54%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hindistan
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Afganistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2024 Afganistan Afganistan 0-0 HT 0-0 Hindistan Hindistan DKE
11.06.2022 Afganistan Afganistan 1-2 HT 0-0 Hindistan Hindistan ASKE
15.06.2021 Hindistan Hindistan 1-1 HT 0-0 Afganistan Afganistan DKE
14.11.2019 Afganistan Afganistan 1-1 HT 1-0 Hindistan Hindistan DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hindistan
1-2
AWAY Afganistan
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hindistan vs Afganistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afganistan edged past Hindistan 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hindistan at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hindistan had 53% of the ball to Afganistan's 47%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hindistan had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hindistan and 0.75 for Afganistan.

What was the final score of Hindistan vs Afganistan?

Hindistan 1-2 Afganistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hindistan vs Afganistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hindistan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hindistan 48%, draw 23%, Afganistan 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hindistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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