Katar 3-0 Kuveyt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2024

Katar
3-0 HT 0-0
Kuveyt
📅21/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.88
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
7%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.8pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katar EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuveyt EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
5.31/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.63
+114% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +25%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
52.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
22.0 Crosses 7.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katar
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kuveyt
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.22 xG 0.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 431
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.01.2023 Kuveyt Kuveyt 0-2 HT 0-2 Katar Katar AKK
16.01.2011 Katar Katar 3-0 HT 2-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katar
3-0
AWAY Kuveyt
1.75 xG 0.52
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
464 Passes 223
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Katar vs Kuveyt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katar swept aside Kuveyt 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Katar as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Katar had 64% of the ball to Kuveyt's 36%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.75 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Katar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Katar and 0.00 for Kuveyt.

What was the final score of Katar vs Kuveyt?

Katar 3-0 Kuveyt in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katar vs Kuveyt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Katar 63%, draw 23%, Kuveyt 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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