21/03/2024
·
13:23
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
0-0
Japonya vs Kuzey Kore Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
85%
33%
Draw
9%
33%
Away Win
6%
50%
Under 2.5
24%
50%
Over 2.5
76%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Japonya v Kuzey Kore — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Japonya
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kuzey Kore
EU Bookmakers 9%
-25% /
-26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+23% /
+23%
2.44/0.47
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.00
-17%
/
-12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
0
Total Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0
0 · 0%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
0 · 0%
40.2
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
37.0
Crosses
–
0.4
Yellow Cards
–
Japonya vs Kuzey Kore Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Japonya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Kuzey Kore
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
66%
Ball Possession
34%
8
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
6
9
Corners
4
508
Passes
211
84%
Pass Accuracy
67%
17
Box Touches
16
33
Crosses
15
0
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
09.12.2017
Japonya
1-0
HT 0-0
Kuzey Kore
E-1FŞ
1-0
HT 0-0
Kuzey Kore
E-1FŞ
FAQ
Japonya vs Kuzey Kore
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Japonya edged past Kuzey Kore 1-0 in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21 Mar 2024.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Japonya vs Kuzey Kore?
Japonya 1-0 Kuzey Kore in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Japonya vs Kuzey Kore?
Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Japonya 33%, draw 33%, Kuzey Kore 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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More World Cup Qualifiers
21 Mar 2024