Hong Kong 0-2 Özbekistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
64%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.43 — our 26% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.2pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.4pp
64%
Away Win
77%
-12.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Özbekistan EU Bookmakers 81%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.19/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-59% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -66%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
212 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Özbekistan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.11.2013 Hong Kong Hong Kong 0-2 HT 0-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan ASKE
06.02.2013 Özbekistan Özbekistan 0-0 HT 0-0 Hong Kong Hong Kong ASKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong
0-2
AWAY Özbekistan
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
FAQ Hong Kong vs Özbekistan
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Özbekistan beat Hong Kong 2-0 away from home in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21 Mar 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 39%.

On the day, Hong Kong had 47% of the ball to Özbekistan's 53%, shots finished 6-26.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Özbekistan lead the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Hong Kong and 1.00 for Özbekistan.

What was the final score of Hong Kong vs Özbekistan?

Hong Kong 0-2 Özbekistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong vs Özbekistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Özbekistan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong 17%, draw 19%, Özbekistan 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Özbekistan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Özbekistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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