Adelaide United (K) 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 27 Dec 2024

Adelaide United (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
📅27/12/2024 · 🕒08:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.15
Over 2.5
65%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.7pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+11.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
43%
-8.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
57%
+8.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
-71% / -71% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
0.40/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.76
-100% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 82%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
19.0 Crosses 9.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
2W-0D-2L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.72 xG 2.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 281
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.11.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
03.02.2024 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
14.11.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
1-0
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2.51 xG 0.31
58% Ball Possession 42%
28 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
379 Passes 225
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) squeezed past W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Adelaide United (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 58% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 42%, shots finished 28-4, expected goals 2.51 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Adelaide United (K)'s control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 1.75 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 49%, draw 18%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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