Perth Glory (K) 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 27 Dec 2024

📅27/12/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
0.71/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.17
-46% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
16.0 Crosses 10.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.16 xG 1.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 5
379 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
1 Box Touches 29
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
31.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
0-1
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.69 xG 1.56
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
202 Passes 401
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) squeezed past Perth Glory (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Central Coast Mariners (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 39% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 61%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.69 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 2.00 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 35%, draw 25%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
27 Dec 2024
08:50 Adelaide United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Analysis →