PSS Sleman 4-0 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 27 Dec 2024

📅27/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.30/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.98
-8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSS Sleman
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Madura United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 373
29.03.2024 Madura United Madura United 0-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
18.01.2022 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 1-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
25.09.2021 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
29.09.2019 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 2-2 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSS Sleman
4-0
AWAY Madura United
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSS Sleman vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSS Sleman swept aside Madura United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSS Sleman as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, PSS Sleman had 46% of the ball to Madura United's 54%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Madura United led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for PSS Sleman and 1.00 for Madura United.

What was the final score of PSS Sleman vs Madura United?

PSS Sleman 4-0 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSS Sleman vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSS Sleman win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split PSS Sleman 44%, draw 31%, Madura United 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSS Sleman), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSS Sleman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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