Semen Padang 1-2 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 27 Dec 2024

Semen Padang
1-2 HT 1-2
Arema Malang
📅27/12/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Semen Padang vs Arema Malang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Semen Padang v Arema Malang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
0.81/2.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.17
-31% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Semen Padang vs Arema Malang Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Semen Padang
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arema Malang
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 11
The Meetings
28.10.2019 Arema Malang Arema Malang 1-0 HT 0-0 Semen Padang Semen Padang ENDL1
POST-MATCH Semen Padang vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang edged past Semen Padang 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arema Malang as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Semen Padang vs Arema Malang?

Semen Padang 1-2 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Semen Padang vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 24%, draw 28%, Arema Malang 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arema Malang), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
27 Dec 2024
15:00 Borneo FC vs Persik Kediri Analysis →
15:00 PSS Sleman vs Madura United Analysis →