Oued Akbou 1-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oued Akbou EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 32%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.21/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.01
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oued Akbou
0W-2D-0L
AWAY USM Alger
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 0-0 Oued Akbou Oued Akbou CZYR
01.02.2025 Oued Akbou Oued Akbou 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oued Akbou
1-1
AWAY USM Alger
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oued Akbou vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oued Akbou and USM Alger shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Oued Akbou at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Oued Akbou had 57% of the ball to USM Alger's 43%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Oued Akbou and 0.50 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of Oued Akbou vs USM Alger?

Oued Akbou 1-1 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oued Akbou vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oued Akbou win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oued Akbou 44%, draw 27%, USM Alger 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oued Akbou), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oued Akbou) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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