Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Colwyn Bay — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Colwyn Bay
GAL
0-4
HT 0-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
Colwyn Bay squeezed past Caernarfon Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Caernarfon Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Caernarfon Town and 0.50 for Colwyn Bay.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town 1-2 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 46%, draw 26%, Colwyn Bay 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.