Europa (K) 1-2 Alhama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
40%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
42%
4-5
17%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
44%
-12.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
27%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa (K) The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Alhama (K) The Market 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Europa (K)
1-2
AWAY Alhama (K)
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Europa (K) vs Alhama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alhama (K) squeezed past Europa (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Alhama (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Europa (K) had 46% of the ball to Alhama (K)'s 54%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of Europa (K) vs Alhama (K)?

Europa (K) 1-2 Alhama (K) in the Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa (K) vs Alhama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alhama (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Europa (K) 32%, draw 28%, Alhama (K) 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alhama (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alhama (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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