Madrid II (K) 1-2 Deportivo Alaves (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over Pick
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
36%
4-5
20%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
16%
+11.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid II (K) The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves (K) The Market 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 503 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid II (K)
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Alaves (K)
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Madrid II (K) vs Deportivo Alaves (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves (K) nicked a narrow win over Madrid II (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Alaves (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Madrid II (K) had 35% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves (K)'s 65%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Madrid II (K) vs Deportivo Alaves (K)?

Madrid II (K) 1-2 Deportivo Alaves (K) in the Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid II (K) vs Deportivo Alaves (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Alaves (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Madrid II (K) 28%, draw 21%, Deportivo Alaves (K) 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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