CD Castellon 4-1 Antequera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
7%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.0pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.6pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Antequera EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.63/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.71
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Antequera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Antequera Antequera 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
4-1
AWAY Antequera
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Antequera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon swept aside Antequera 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Castellon had 45% of the ball to Antequera's 55%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Antequera?

CD Castellon 4-1 Antequera in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Antequera?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 58%, draw 20%, Antequera 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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