Melilla 2-0 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.89
6+ Goals
7%
42.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.75/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/2.02
-30% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ceuta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.10.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 0-0 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melilla
2-0
AWAY Ceuta
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla beat Ceuta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Melilla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Melilla had 46% of the ball to Ceuta's 54%, shots finished 7-2.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Ceuta?

Melilla 2-0 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Melilla 30%, draw 31%, Ceuta 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceuta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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