Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.4
6+ Goals
10%
23.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.31/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.23
+14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 18.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Osasuna II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
16.04.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
08.12.2022 Osasuna II Osasuna II 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1-1
AWAY Osasuna II
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona and Osasuna II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastic Tarragona at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 54% of the ball to Osasuna II's 46%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Osasuna II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 1.67 for Osasuna II.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Osasuna II?

Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 54%, draw 24%, Osasuna II 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✗ BTTS No
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