Union Berlin vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Darmstadt 98 — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Darmstadt 98 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-3
Union Berlin
AL1
2-1
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL2
3-1
HT 2-0
Darmstadt 98
AL2
3-1
HT 3-0
Union Berlin
AL2
3-3
HT 1-0
Darmstadt 98
AL2
5-0
HT 2-0
Union Berlin
AL2
Union Berlin 1-0 Darmstadt 98 — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin edged past Darmstadt 98 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Berlin as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 50% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 50%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.55 to 1.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Berlin's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Union Berlin and 2.50 for Darmstadt 98.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Darmstadt 98?
Union Berlin 1-0 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Darmstadt 98?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 53%, draw 28%, Darmstadt 98 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.