28/01/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Alaçatıspor vs Bayındırspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
44%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Alaçatıspor win — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
63%
Home Win
61%
19%
Draw
22%
18%
Away Win
17%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alaçatıspor v Bayındırspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Alaçatıspor
The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bayındırspor
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-19% /
-19%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-18%
/
-48%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
3
426 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
232 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Alaçatıspor vs Bayındırspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Alaçatıspor got the better of Bayındırspor 3-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alaçatıspor as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Alaçatıspor vs Bayındırspor?
Alaçatıspor 3-1 Bayındırspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alaçatıspor vs Bayındırspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alaçatıspor win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Alaçatıspor 63%, draw 19%, Bayındırspor 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alaçatıspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Alaçatıspor)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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BAL
More Turkey - Regional Amateur League
28 Jan 2024