Yıldızspor 45 FK 1-0 Emirdağspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
47%
4-5
15%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yıldızspor 45 FK The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Emirdağspor The Market 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Yıldızspor 45 FK vs Emirdağspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yıldızspor 45 FK nicked a narrow win over Emirdağspor 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yıldızspor 45 FK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Yıldızspor 45 FK vs Emirdağspor?

Yıldızspor 45 FK 1-0 Emirdağspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yıldızspor 45 FK vs Emirdağspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yıldızspor 45 FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yıldızspor 45 FK 41%, draw 25%, Emirdağspor 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yıldızspor 45 FK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yıldızspor 45 FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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