ASA 1-1 Coruripe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Alagoano, 28 Jan 2024

ASA
1-1 HT 1-1
Coruripe
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Brazil - Alagoano – 2024

ASA vs Coruripe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.71
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
41%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+13.1pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.3pp
41%
Away Win
61%
-20.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ASA v Coruripe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASA EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruripe EU Bookmakers 66%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-52% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 530 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

ASA vs Coruripe Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ASA
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Coruripe
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2023 ASA ASA 2-0 HT 2-0 Coruripe Coruripe BRALA
24.04.2021 ASA ASA 5-1 HT 2-0 Coruripe Coruripe BRALA

ASA 1-1 Coruripe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASA
1-1
AWAY Coruripe
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH ASA vs Coruripe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASA and Coruripe shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Coruripe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, ASA had 58% of the ball to Coruripe's 42%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ASA had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for ASA and 0.50 for Coruripe.

What was the final score of ASA vs Coruripe?

ASA 1-1 Coruripe in the Brazil - Alagoano on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASA vs Coruripe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coruripe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ASA 31%, draw 28%, Coruripe 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Coruripe), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coruripe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRALA More Brazil - Alagoano
28 Jan 2024
22:00 Penedense vs CSE Analysis →