28/01/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Penedense vs CSE Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
73%
28%
Draw
17%
21%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penedense v CSE — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Penedense
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
CSE
EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-20%
/
+28%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
407 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
290 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.8
POST-MATCH
Penedense vs CSE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Penedense and CSE shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Penedense at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Penedense vs CSE?
Penedense 1-1 CSE in the Brazil - Alagoano on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penedense vs CSE?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penedense win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Penedense 51%, draw 28%, CSE 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penedense) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Penedense)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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BRALA
More Brazil - Alagoano
28 Jan 2024