Jacobina 1-0 Barcelona BA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Baino 1, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
No
67%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jacobina EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona BA EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +75%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
353 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Jacobina vs Barcelona BA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jacobina squeezed past Barcelona BA 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jacobina as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

What was the final score of Jacobina vs Barcelona BA?

Jacobina 1-0 Barcelona BA in the Brazil - Baino 1 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jacobina vs Barcelona BA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jacobina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jacobina 46%, draw 24%, Barcelona BA 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jacobina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jacobina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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