Vitoria 3-0 Juazeirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Baino 1, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Juazeirense EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.38
-33% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Juazeirense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2023 Juazeirense Juazeirense 3-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BRB1
16.01.2022 Vitoria Vitoria 1-1 HT 1-1 Juazeirense Juazeirense BRB1
22.04.2021 Juazeirense Juazeirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BRB1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
3-0
AWAY Juazeirense
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Juazeirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria cruised past Juazeirense 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vitoria as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vitoria had 63% of the ball to Juazeirense's 37%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Juazeirense led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria and 1.67 for Juazeirense.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Juazeirense?

Vitoria 3-0 Juazeirense in the Brazil - Baino 1 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Juazeirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 49%, draw 25%, Juazeirense 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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