Porto Vitória 2-1 Rio Branco-VN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Capixaba, 28 Jan 2024

Porto Vitória
2-1
Rio Branco-VN
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Brazil - Capixaba – 2024

Porto Vitória vs Rio Branco-VN Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over Pick
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Porto Vitória v Rio Branco-VN — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto Vitória The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Branco-VN The Market 26%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.98/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.71
+30% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Porto Vitória 2-1 Rio Branco-VN — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto Vitória
2-1
AWAY Rio Branco-VN
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Porto Vitória vs Rio Branco-VN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto Vitória edged past Rio Branco-VN 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto Vitória as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Porto Vitória had 51% of the ball to Rio Branco-VN's 49%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Porto Vitória vs Rio Branco-VN?

Porto Vitória 2-1 Rio Branco-VN in the Brazil - Capixaba on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto Vitória vs Rio Branco-VN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto Vitória win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Porto Vitória 44%, draw 25%, Rio Branco-VN 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto Vitória), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Porto Vitória) ✓ Over 2.5
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