Concordia 3-2 Nação — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Catarinense 1, 28 Jan 2024

Concordia
3-2 HT 2-1
Nação
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Catarinense 1 – 2024

Concordia vs Nação Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
35%
-8.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Concordia v Nação — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concordia EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nação EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Concordia vs Nação Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concordia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nação
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Nação Nação 2-0 HT 1-0 Concordia Concordia BRSCK

Concordia 3-2 Nação — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concordia
3-2
AWAY Nação
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Concordia vs Nação
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concordia edged past Nação 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 40%) promised a tight game; Concordia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Concordia had 57% of the ball to Nação's 43%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Concordia vs Nação?

Concordia 3-2 Nação in the Brazil - Catarinense 1 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concordia vs Nação?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nação win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Concordia 27%, draw 33%, Nação 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nação) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BRCAT1 More Brazil - Catarinense 1
28 Jan 2024
23:30 Joinville vs Internacional SC Analysis →