Joinville 2-1 Internacional SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Catarinense 1, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.7pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.3pp
39%
Away Win
53%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Joinville EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional SC EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Joinville vs Internacional SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Joinville edged past Internacional SC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Joinville made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Joinville vs Internacional SC?

Joinville 2-1 Internacional SC in the Brazil - Catarinense 1 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Joinville vs Internacional SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional SC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Joinville 30%, draw 31%, Internacional SC 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Internacional SC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BRCAT1 More Brazil - Catarinense 1
28 Jan 2024
23:00 Concordia vs Nação Analysis →