Sao Jose EC 1-0 Capivariano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
39%
4-5
16%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Jose EC The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Capivariano The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Jose EC
1-0
AWAY Capivariano
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sao Jose EC vs Capivariano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Jose EC squeezed past Capivariano 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sao Jose EC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sao Jose EC had 46% of the ball to Capivariano's 54%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Sao Jose EC vs Capivariano?

Sao Jose EC 1-0 Capivariano in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Jose EC vs Capivariano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Jose EC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sao Jose EC 37%, draw 30%, Capivariano 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Jose EC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sao Jose EC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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