Taubate 2-1 Monte Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taubate The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Monte Azul The Market 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taubate
2-1
AWAY Monte Azul
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Taubate vs Monte Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taubate nicked a narrow win over Monte Azul 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Taubate as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Taubate had 49% of the ball to Monte Azul's 51%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Taubate vs Monte Azul?

Taubate 2-1 Monte Azul in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taubate vs Monte Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taubate win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Taubate 46%, draw 26%, Monte Azul 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taubate), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Taubate) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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