HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
2-2
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
1-0
HT 0-0
Lokomotiva Zagreb
HIR
2-1
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
3-2
HT 0-1
Lokomotiva Zagreb
HIR
3-3
HT 2-1
Lokomotiva Zagreb
HIR
HNK Gorica 1-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb nicked a narrow win over HNK Gorica 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Lokomotiva Zagreb made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 43% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 57%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.17 to 1.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lokomotiva Zagreb's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HNK Gorica had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.67 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
HNK Gorica 1-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 36%, draw 29%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.