PSV Eindhoven (K) 3-1 ADO Den Haag (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.3pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+10.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / -40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
3-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K)
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) saw off ADO Den Haag (K) 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven (K) had 64% of the ball to ADO Den Haag (K)'s 36%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)?

PSV Eindhoven (K) 3-1 ADO Den Haag (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven (K) 49%, draw 18%, ADO Den Haag (K) 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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