Blackburn Rovers U21 2-1 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.32
No
44%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.9pp
44%
BTTS No
28%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers U21
2-1
AWAY Newcastle United U21
1.41 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
290 Passes 299
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers U21 squeezed past Newcastle United U21 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Blackburn Rovers U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers U21 had 49% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 51%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.41 to 1.02.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Blackburn Rovers U21 2-1 Newcastle United U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers U21 37%, draw 30%, Newcastle United U21 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackburn Rovers U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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