Esan Pattaya 1-0 Chiangmai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esan Pattaya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangmai EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esan Pattaya
1-0
AWAY Chiangmai
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esan Pattaya nicked a narrow win over Chiangmai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esan Pattaya as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Esan Pattaya had 47% of the ball to Chiangmai's 53%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai?

Esan Pattaya 1-0 Chiangmai in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esan Pattaya vs Chiangmai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esan Pattaya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Esan Pattaya 48%, draw 25%, Chiangmai 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esan Pattaya), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esan Pattaya) ✓ Under 2.5
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