Kasetsart 1-3 Ayutthaya United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasetsart EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayutthaya United EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.06/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.91
-19% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasetsart
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ayutthaya United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2022 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 2-0 HT 1-0 Kasetsart Kasetsart TAY1
03.04.2022 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 1-1 HT 0-1 Kasetsart Kasetsart TAY1
17.11.2021 Kasetsart Kasetsart 0-2 HT 0-1 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasetsart
1-3
AWAY Ayutthaya United
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Kasetsart vs Ayutthaya United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayutthaya United got the better of Kasetsart 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ayutthaya United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kasetsart had 54% of the ball to Ayutthaya United's 46%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ayutthaya United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kasetsart and 1.67 for Ayutthaya United.

What was the final score of Kasetsart vs Ayutthaya United?

Kasetsart 1-3 Ayutthaya United in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasetsart vs Ayutthaya United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayutthaya United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kasetsart 35%, draw 26%, Ayutthaya United 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayutthaya United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayutthaya United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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