Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 28 Jan 2025

Portsmouth
0-1 HT 0-1
Millwall
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Portsmouth vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
5.5
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
14%
4.7
X/2
9%
6.13
X/X
16%
3.6
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.14
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portsmouth v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
2.12/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.25
+45% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 70%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.0 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Portsmouth vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Millwall
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
313 Passes 282
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.08.2024 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-1 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNLK
10.08.2021 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 2-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNLK
10.04.2012 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-1 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
26.12.2011 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
26.12.2010 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
19.10.2010 Millwall Millwall 0-1 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL

Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
0-1
AWAY Millwall
1.18 xG 1.32
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
266 Passes 123
69% Pass Accuracy 53%
32 Box Touches 14
49 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall nicked a narrow win over Portsmouth 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Portsmouth at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Portsmouth had 64% of the ball to Millwall's 36%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.18 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Portsmouth and 1.00 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 41%, draw 30%, Millwall 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Portsmouth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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