Greifswalder SV 4-1 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.95/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.59
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 4-1 HT 2-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-2 HT 2-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-1 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 5-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV ran out comfortable winners over Viktoria Berlin 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Greifswalder SV as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.25 for Viktoria Berlin.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Viktoria Berlin?

Greifswalder SV 4-1 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 47%, draw 23%, Viktoria Berlin 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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