USM Alger 1-1 Paradou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradou EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +24%
1.32/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.87
+0% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Paradou
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 1-5 HT 0-2 Paradou Paradou CZYR
27.09.2023 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
25.10.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 2-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
25.01.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 2-1 Paradou Paradou CZYR
09.08.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 1-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
06.03.2021 Paradou Paradou 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-1
AWAY Paradou
73% Ball Possession 27%
17 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs Paradou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger and Paradou couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, USM Alger had 73% of the ball to Paradou's 27%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for USM Alger and 1.83 for Paradou.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs Paradou?

USM Alger 1-1 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Paradou?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 46%, draw 29%, Paradou 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (USM Alger), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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