Al Adalah 3-3 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.71
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Adalah
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Faisaly
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.97 xG 1.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
222 Passes 288
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
13.02.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
01.09.2023 Al Adalah Al Adalah 4-2 HT 1-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
28.02.2020 Al Adalah Al Adalah 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
28.09.2019 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD
01.04.2017 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Adalah
3-3
AWAY Al Faisaly
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Adalah vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Adalah and Al Faisaly shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Adalah at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Adalah had 67% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 33%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Adalah and 2.33 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Al Adalah vs Al Faisaly?

Al Adalah 3-3 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Adalah vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Adalah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Adalah 42%, draw 24%, Al Faisaly 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Adalah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Adalah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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