Abha 1-0 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2025

Abha
1-0 HT 0-0
Arabi
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.96
-11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abha
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arabi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2024 Arabi 1-2 HT 0-0 Abha Abha SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abha
1-0
AWAY Arabi
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Abha vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha edged past Arabi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Abha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Abha had 44% of the ball to Arabi's 56%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Abha vs Arabi?

Abha 1-0 Arabi in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Abha 35%, draw 25%, Arabi 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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