Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Union Saint-Gilloise v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals
Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise squeezed past Atalanta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Atalanta at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Atalanta saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.94 to 0.83.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta Result & Final Score
Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 0 Atalanta in the Champions League on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 31%, draw 26%, Atalanta 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.