Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Jan 2026

📅28/01/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.33
Over 2.5
35%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.53
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.74
2-3 Goals
45%
1.93
4-5 Goals
13%
8.35
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
5.99
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
16.9
X/1
14%
6.52
X/2
22%
4.65
X/X
15%
2.98
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.61
2/X
5%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.5pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
72%
-7.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
28%
+7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.9pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
Crosses 20.1
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
0-1
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.71 xG 0.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
250 Passes 142
72% Pass Accuracy 57%
9 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo nicked a narrow win over Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had San Lorenzo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Gimnasia Mendoza had 58% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 42%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.71 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs San Lorenzo?

Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 27%, draw 30%, San Lorenzo 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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