Newells Old Boys 1-1 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Jan 2026

Newells Old Boys
1-1 HT 0-1
Independiente
📅28/01/2026 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2026

Newells Old Boys vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.41
Over 2.5
35%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.47
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.44
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.65
X/1
17%
6.31
X/2
13%
4.77
X/X
18%
3.35
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.57
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.7pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
67%
-2.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
33%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newells Old Boys v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -27%
1.10/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.12
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.5 Crosses 19.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Newells Old Boys vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Independiente
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
308 Passes 306
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.11.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
12.07.2023 Independiente Independiente 0-2 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
25.09.2022 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
01.11.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
06.03.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-2 HT 0-2 Independiente Independiente ARJ
13.12.2019 Independiente Independiente 2-3 HT 2-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ

Newells Old Boys 1-1 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
1-1
AWAY Independiente
0.63 xG 0.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
152 Passes 156
66% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys and Independiente couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 51% of the ball to Independiente's 49%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.63 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newells Old Boys and 1.00 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Independiente?

Newells Old Boys 1-1 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 34%, draw 33%, Independiente 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/33/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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