Fajr Sepasi 2-1 Kheybar Khorramabad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 28 Jan 2026

📅28/01/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.38
Draw
39%
3.04
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.04
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.77
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
16%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
38%
-13.5pp
39%
Draw
29%
+10.0pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 36%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
0.70/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.78
-34% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Kheybar Khorramabad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
12.09.2025 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 1-1 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
15.11.2023 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 2-1 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
25.01.2023 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 1-0 HT 1-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi nicked a narrow win over Kheybar Khorramabad 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (25% / 39% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fajr Sepasi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kheybar Khorramabad led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fajr Sepasi and 1.33 for Kheybar Khorramabad.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad?

Fajr Sepasi 2-1 Kheybar Khorramabad in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 25%, draw 39%, Kheybar Khorramabad 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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