Guadalupe vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalupe v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals
Guadalupe vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Alajuelense
KOSTA
4-0
HT 3-0
Guadalupe
KOSTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Guadalupe
KOSTA
1-3
HT 1-2
Alajuelense
KOSTA
Guadalupe 1-3 Alajuelense — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense saw off Guadalupe 3-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Guadalupe had 48% of the ball to Alajuelense's 52%, shots finished 16-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guadalupe and 1.83 for Alajuelense.
What was the final score of Guadalupe vs Alajuelense?
Guadalupe 1-3 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalupe vs Alajuelense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Guadalupe 22%, draw 24%, Alajuelense 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.