AS Marsa vs Gabes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AS Marsa v Gabes — Team-Based Signals
AS Marsa vs Gabes Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
AS Marsa 1-0 Gabes — Actual Match Statistics
AS Marsa squeezed past Gabes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AS Marsa as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, AS Marsa had 60% of the ball to Gabes's 40%, shots finished 15-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AS Marsa and 1.00 for Gabes.
What was the final score of AS Marsa vs Gabes?
AS Marsa 1-0 Gabes in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs Gabes?
Before kick-off our model rated a AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 63%, draw 26%, Gabes 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Marsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.