Kitara 1-0 Express — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 28 Jan 2026

📅28/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
65%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Express EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
2.39/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.67
+31% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitara
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Express
7.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Kitara Kitara 7-0 HT 3-0 Express Express UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitara
1-0
AWAY Express
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kitara vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara nicked a narrow win over Express 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kitara as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Kitara had 51% of the ball to Express's 49%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Kitara vs Express?

Kitara 1-0 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs Express?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Kitara 61%, draw 25%, Express 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kitara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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