SC Villa vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SC Villa v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
SC Villa vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
SC Villa
UGA
SC Villa 6-1 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics
SC Villa ran out comfortable winners over Mbarara City 6-1. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, SC Villa had 52% of the ball to Mbarara City's 48%, shots finished 12-9.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SC Villa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SC Villa and 1.00 for Mbarara City.
What was the final score of SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
SC Villa 6-1 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 70%, draw 19%, Mbarara City 10%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa) — a clean sweep of the main markets.