Mbarara City vs SC Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbarara City v SC Villa — Team-Based Signals
Mbarara City vs SC Villa Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
SC Villa
UGA
Mbarara City 0-2 SC Villa — Actual Match Statistics
SC Villa got the better of Mbarara City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day SC Villa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.
On the day, Mbarara City had 49% of the ball to SC Villa's 51%, shots finished 10-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SC Villa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mbarara City and 2.00 for SC Villa.
What was the final score of Mbarara City vs SC Villa?
Mbarara City 0-2 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs SC Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated an SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 35%, draw 27%, SC Villa 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.